Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Mar 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Mar 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.4 points higher and AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 16.6
- AfD -1.8average 14.8
- SPD -1.4average 20.4
- FDP +0.7average 6.3
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 29.5
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD130
- Grüne130
- AfD89
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.