Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 28 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,722
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Feb 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,722 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.4
- Grüne +1.4average 16.6
- Linke +1.3average 4.7
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- SPD -0.4average 20.4
- FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD137
- Grüne123
- AfD96
- FDP41
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.