Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 February 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
14 to 21 Feb 2023
Respondents
1,373
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+3.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Feb 2023.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,373 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 28.3
  • FDP -0.5average 6.5
  • SPD +0.4average 20.6
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
  • Grüne +0.1average 16.9
  • AfD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 196 seatsSPD: 142 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsAfD: 102 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU196
  • SPD142
  • Grüne115
  • AfD102
  • FDP41
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD413 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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