Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,386
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Feb 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,386 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- Grüne +0.9average 17.1
- SPD +0.4average 20.6
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- AfD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD144
- Grüne123
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.