Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2023 to 7 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,410
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Feb 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,410 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2023 to 7 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 27.3
- Grüne +1.7average 17.3
- SPD +0.3average 20.7
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- AfD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- SPD144
- Grüne130
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne445 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.