Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,405
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Jan 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,405 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 27.5
- Grüne +1.3average 17.7
- SPD +0.7average 20.3
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- SPD144
- Grüne130
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne445 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.