Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,392
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Jan 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,392 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Jan 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 17.9
- SPD +1.0average 20.0
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- AfD -0.4average 14.4
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- SPD142
- Grüne129
- AfD95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.