Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,418
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Jan 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,418 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Jan 2023, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 18.5
- FDP -1.1average 7.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- SPD +0.3average 19.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- Grüne137
- AfD96
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.