Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,398
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Dec 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,398 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Jan 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Dec 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.0average 5.0
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- Grüne -0.6average 18.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD139
- Grüne132
- AfD103
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.