Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 November 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Nov 2022
Respondents
1,430
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Nov 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,430 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.2average 14.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • SPD -0.5average 19.5
  • FDP +0.4average 6.6
  • Grüne -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 138 seatsGrüne: 137 seatsAfD: 94 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD138
  • Grüne137
  • AfD94
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne347 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.