Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 29 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,414
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Nov 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,414 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 19.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 28.1
- Grüne +0.6average 19.4
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne138
- SPD125
- AfD97
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.