Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,443
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Nov 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Nov 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 14.4
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- SPD +0.6average 19.4
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD138
- Grüne132
- AfD90
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.