Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,442
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Nov 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,442 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Nov 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- SPD +1.7average 19.3
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD142
- Grüne136
- AfD95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.