Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 November 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Oct 2022 to 2 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,516
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Oct 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,516 people were surveyed from 25 Oct 2022 to 2 Nov 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.9average 19.1
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- AfD -0.6average 14.6
- Grüne -0.4average 19.4
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD142
- Grüne129
- AfD95
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.