Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,406
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%+2.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Oct 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,406 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 27.6
- SPD +2.1average 18.9
- Grüne +0.6average 19.4
- AfD +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU169
- SPD142
- Grüne136
- AfD102
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne447 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.