Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,435
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU23.0%-2.0
- SPD22.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Oct 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,435 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 4.6 points lower and SPD 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.6average 27.6
- SPD +3.2average 18.8
- AfD +1.5average 14.5
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- Grüne +0.5average 19.5
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU165
- SPD157
- Grüne143
- AfD115
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD423 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.