Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,433
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%+2.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Oct 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 27.5
- SPD +1.4average 18.6
- Grüne +1.3average 19.7
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- Grüne144
- SPD137
- AfD103
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD452 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD411 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.