Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2022 to 4 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,864
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Oct 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,864 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2022 to 4 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Oct 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.8average 5.2
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- SPD -0.5average 18.5
- AfD +0.3average 13.7
- Grüne +0.2average 19.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne135
- SPD122
- AfD95
- FDP54
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.