Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 27 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,381
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Sep 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,381 people were surveyed from 22 to 27 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Sep 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- Grüne +0.7average 20.3
- SPD +0.5average 18.5
- AfD -0.3average 13.3
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne142
- SPD129
- AfD88
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP366 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.