Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,444
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Sep 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,444 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
  • AfD +0.9average 13.1
  • Grüne -0.2average 20.2
  • SPD +0.2average 18.8
  • Linke -0.2average 5.2
  • FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 137 seatsSPD: 130 seatsAfD: 96 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne137
  • SPD130
  • AfD96
  • FDP48
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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