Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,443
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Sep 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
  • SPD +1.1average 18.9
  • Linke -0.4average 5.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 20.7
  • AfD -0.1average 13.1
  • FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsGrüne: 144 seatsSPD: 137 seatsAfD: 89 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • Grüne144
  • SPD137
  • AfD89
  • FDP48
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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