Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2022 to 6 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,416
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Sep 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,416 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2022 to 6 Sep 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Sep 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.0average 27.0
  • SPD +1.5average 18.5
  • Grüne -1.4average 22.4
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
  • AfD -0.4average 12.4
  • Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 173 seatsGrüne: 145 seatsSPD: 139 seatsAfD: 83 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU173
  • Grüne145
  • SPD139
  • AfD83
  • FDP55
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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