Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
24 to 30 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,411
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-2.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%+2.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Aug 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,411 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower and SPD 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.9average 26.9
  • SPD +2.5average 18.5
  • Grüne -0.9average 22.9
  • FDP +0.6average 7.4
  • AfD -0.1average 12.1
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 164 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 144 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU164
  • Grüne151
  • SPD144
  • AfD82
  • FDP55
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD459 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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