Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
17 to 23 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,431
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Aug 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,431 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
  • SPD +0.4average 18.6
  • FDP -0.3average 7.3
  • Linke +0.3average 4.7
  • Grüne ±0average 23.0
  • AfD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsGrüne: 158 seatsSPD: 130 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • Grüne158
  • SPD130
  • AfD82
  • FDP48
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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