Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
10 to 16 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,429
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne23.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Aug 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,429 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Aug 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 26.9
  • FDP -1.1average 7.1
  • SPD +1.0average 19.0
  • Linke -0.6average 4.6
  • AfD +0.3average 11.7
  • Grüne -0.2average 23.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 198 seatsGrüne: 163 seatsSPD: 142 seatsAfD: 85 seatsFDP: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU198
  • Grüne163
  • SPD142
  • AfD85
  • FDP42
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD390 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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