Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 July 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
19 to 26 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,413
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD21.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jul 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,413 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jul 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 26.7
  • SPD +0.6average 20.4
  • FDP -0.4average 7.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 22.3
  • AfD +0.3average 10.7
  • Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsGrüne: 151 seatsSPD: 144 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 48 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • Grüne151
  • SPD144
  • AfD75
  • FDP48
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD370 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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