Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
26 Jul 2022 to 2 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,426
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne23.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jul 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 26 Jul 2022 to 2 Aug 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
  • FDP -1.6average 7.6
  • SPD +1.2average 19.8
  • Grüne +0.4average 22.6
  • Linke +0.2average 4.8
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 173 seatsGrüne: 159 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 76 seatsFDP: 42 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU173
  • Grüne159
  • SPD145
  • AfD76
  • FDP42
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD380 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP346 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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