Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 July 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,392
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jul 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,392 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
  • SPD -1.6average 20.6
  • Grüne +0.7average 22.3
  • AfD +0.5average 10.5
  • FDP +0.5average 7.5
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 173 seatsGrüne: 159 seatsSPD: 132 seatsAfD: 76 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU173
  • Grüne159
  • SPD132
  • AfD76
  • FDP55
  • Linke35
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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