Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,433
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Jul 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Jul 2022, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 22.1
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke -0.6average 4.6
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne172
- SPD143
- AfD79
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD394 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP372 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.