Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jun 2022 to 5 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jul 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2022 to 5 Jul 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jul 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 27.2
- Grüne +1.9average 22.1
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- Grüne166
- SPD139
- AfD69
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.