Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,429
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Mar 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,429 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Mar 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.4average 24.6
  • Grüne +1.3average 16.7
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • FDP -0.9average 9.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
  • Linke +0.7average 5.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 176 seatsCDU/CSU: 169 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsFDP: 61 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD176
  • CDU/CSU169
  • Grüne122
  • FDP61
  • AfD61
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU345 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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