Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 April 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
23 to 29 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,428
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Mar 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,428 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Mar 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.2average 16.8
  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • FDP -0.7average 9.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • SPD -0.1average 25.1
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsSPD: 171 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 62 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • SPD171
  • Grüne123
  • FDP62
  • AfD62
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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