Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,416
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2022.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,416 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Mar 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.8 points higher and FDP 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 16.2
- FDP -1.9average 9.9
- AfD -1.5average 10.5
- SPD +1.2average 24.8
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
- Linke -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD176
- Grüne129
- AfD61
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.