Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,426
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • SPD25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+2.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Mar 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Mar 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.8 points higher and FDP 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.8average 16.2
  • FDP -1.9average 9.9
  • Linke -0.9average 5.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 25.5
  • SPD +0.3average 24.7
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 176 seatsSPD: 169 seatsGrüne: 129 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU176
  • SPD169
  • Grüne129
  • AfD68
  • FDP54
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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