Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 March 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
23 Feb 2022 to 1 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,405
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Feb 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,405 people were surveyed from 23 Feb 2022 to 1 Mar 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher and FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.6average 24.4
  • FDP -1.6average 9.6
  • Grüne +0.9average 16.1
  • AfD -0.5average 10.5
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.8
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 176 seatsSPD: 176 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsAfD: 68 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU176
  • SPD176
  • Grüne115
  • AfD68
  • FDP54
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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