Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,432
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-2.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Feb 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,432 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Feb 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.1average 23.9
  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 26.0
  • AfD -0.9average 10.9
  • FDP -0.6average 9.6
  • Linke +0.6average 6.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 174 seatsCDU/CSU: 168 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsAfD: 67 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD174
  • CDU/CSU168
  • Grüne114
  • AfD67
  • FDP60
  • Linke47
  • SPD + CDU/CSU342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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