Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
8 to 15 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,434
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-2.0
  • SPD24.0%+2.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Feb 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,434 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Feb 2022, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 25.2
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • SPD -0.5average 24.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 15.5
  • FDP +0.2average 9.8
  • Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 164 seatsSPD: 164 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU164
  • SPD164
  • Grüne110
  • AfD82
  • FDP69
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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