Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,415
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU24.0%+2.0
  • SPD24.0%-2.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jan 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,415 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jan 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.1 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.1average 15.9
  • SPD -1.9average 25.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 23.2
  • FDP -0.8average 10.8
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • Linke +0.4average 5.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 164 seatsSPD: 164 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU164
  • SPD164
  • Grüne123
  • FDP69
  • AfD69
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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