Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
26 Jan 2022 to 1 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,410
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jan 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,410 people were surveyed from 26 Jan 2022 to 1 Feb 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Jan 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.6average 10.6
  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • SPD -0.7average 24.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 24.3
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
  • Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 166 seatsSPD: 166 seatsGrüne: 118 seatsAfD: 76 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU166
  • SPD166
  • Grüne118
  • AfD76
  • FDP62
  • Linke42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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