Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,441
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+2.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jan 2022.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,441 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jan 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.1average 11.1
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 23.2
  • Grüne +1.2average 15.8
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • Linke +0.7average 5.3
  • SPD -0.2average 26.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD178
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne116
  • AfD82
  • FDP62
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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