Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,426
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • FDP10.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Dec 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Jan 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Dec 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.4average 15.6
  • FDP -1.3average 11.3
  • Linke +0.9average 5.1
  • AfD -0.8average 10.8
  • SPD -0.6average 26.6
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 23.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 178 seatsCDU/CSU: 158 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsFDP: 69 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD178
  • CDU/CSU158
  • Grüne116
  • FDP69
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.