Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 Dec 2021
Respondents
1,436
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Dec 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,436 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Dec 2021, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 22.8
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • Grüne +0.4average 15.6
  • SPD -0.3average 27.3
  • FDP -0.3average 11.3
  • Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 185 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD185
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne110
  • FDP75
  • AfD75
  • Linke34
  • SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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