Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,440
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Dec 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,440 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Dec 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.4average 12.4
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 21.9
- SPD ±0average 27.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD187
- CDU/CSU152
- Grüne111
- FDP76
- AfD69
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.