Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 December 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Dec 2021
Respondents
1,439
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD28.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Dec 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,439 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Dec 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Dec 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.5average 12.5
  • SPD +1.4average 26.6
  • Freie Wähler +1.0average 2.0
  • Grüne -0.9average 15.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 21.8
  • AfD +0.4average 10.6
  • Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 194 seatsCDU/CSU: 145 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsFDP: 76 seatsAfD: 76 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD194
  • CDU/CSU145
  • Grüne104
  • FDP76
  • AfD76
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD374 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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