Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,425
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD27.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Nov 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,425 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Nov 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 22.1
- SPD +1.0average 26.0
- Linke +0.9average 5.1
- FDP -0.5average 12.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Grüne +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne110
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.