Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
17 to 23 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,424
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD24.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Nov 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,424 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.2 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 15.8
  • SPD -2.0average 26.0
  • FDP -1.9average 12.9
  • Linke +1.0average 5.0
  • AfD +0.6average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 21.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 165 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD165
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne123
  • FDP75
  • AfD75
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU316 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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