Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,433
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD24.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%+2.0
- FDP12.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Nov 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Nov 2021, Grüne gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.6 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.6average 26.6
- Grüne +2.3average 15.7
- FDP -1.3average 13.3
- Linke +1.1average 4.9
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 21.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD165
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne123
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne432 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP391 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD384 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.