Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,423
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • FDP14.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Nov 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,423 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.8average 26.8
  • Linke +1.2average 4.8
  • Grüne +0.3average 15.7
  • FDP +0.3average 13.7
  • AfD -0.2average 10.2
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 21.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 171 seatsCDU/CSU: 144 seatsGrüne: 110 seatsFDP: 96 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD171
  • CDU/CSU144
  • Grüne110
  • FDP96
  • AfD68
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne425 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP411 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD383 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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