Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 November 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
27 Oct 2021 to 2 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,417
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • FDP13.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Oct 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,417 people were surveyed from 27 Oct 2021 to 2 Nov 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 26.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 21.3
  • Grüne +0.7average 15.3
  • AfD -0.6average 10.6
  • Linke -0.5average 5.5
  • FDP -0.3average 13.3
  • Freie Wähler +0.3average 2.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 173 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 111 seatsFDP: 90 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD173
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne111
  • FDP90
  • AfD69
  • Linke35
  • SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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