Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,422
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP14.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Oct 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,422 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Oct 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.5average 15.5
- SPD -1.1average 26.1
- FDP +0.9average 13.1
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.3
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU142
- Grüne115
- FDP95
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne426 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP406 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD386 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP379 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke345 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.